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Charlie McAvoy

D · 28.8 years old · NCAA 16-17

Drafted 2016 · round 1, 14 overall, BOS

He does not play in the NHL yet, so this page carries what he has actually done rather than what we project. No forecast, no category value and no draft ranking: we model NHL seasons, and putting a number on a NCAA season we do not model would look like analysis and be a guess.
NHL
League
69
GP
11
G
50
A
61
P
0.88
P/GP
0.88
NHL-equiv. P/GP
27.7
Age
0.000.511.020.0713-14USHLage 15.70.2014-15USHLage 16.70.2815-16NCAAage 17.70.2816-17NCAAage 18.70.5117-18NHLage 19.70.5218-19NHLage 20.70.4819-20NHLage 21.70.5920-21NHLage 22.70.7221-22NHLage 23.70.7822-23NHLage 24.70.6423-24NHLage 25.70.4624-25NHLage 26.70.8825-26NHLage 27.7

Each season's points per game times its league's translation factor (for example SHL 0.59, Liiga 0.54, AHL 0.44, Allsvenskan 0.38, CHL 0.28, J20 0.18): what a league's scoring has historically been worth in the NHL. A scoring translation, not a rating. A short current season is drawn lighter.

Drafted players from 2005 to 2019 (3,192 of them, including the ones who never made it) whose season at his age looked most like his 25-26: NHL, 69 GP, 0.88 NHL-equivalent at 27.7, after 0.46 the year before. Also matched on draft slot, height, playing against adults. Then their NHL careers.

PlayerDraftedHtAt his ageGPPNHLeNHL GPNHL PP/GPBest NHL season
Josh Morrissey D#13, 20135'11"22-23 NHL78760.977394280.5876 P in 78 GP, 22-23
John Carlson D#27, 20086'3"17-18 NHL82680.8311607850.6875 P in 69 GP, 19-20
Shea Theodore D#26, 20136'1"23-24 NHL47420.896354040.6457 P in 67 GP, 24-25
Morgan Rielly D#5, 20126'0"21-22 NHL82680.839535510.5872 P in 82 GP, 18-19
Erik Karlsson D#15, 20086'0"17-18 NHL71620.8711609370.81101 P in 82 GP, 22-23

5 of 5 played 200 or more NHL games. How players like this turned out, not a forecast for him.

SeasonLeagueGPGAPP/GPPIM
16-17NCAA38521260.6851
15-16NCAA37322250.6856
14-15USHL23316190.8333
13-14USHL3446100.2956

No games recorded since we started tracking him. The log is built by comparing his season totals from one morning to the next, so it begins the first time they move.

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