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Matthew Tkachuk

Matthew Tkachuk

LFLA · age 28 · 2025-26 · drafted 2016 by CGY, round 1, #6 overallCompare with…
65
GP
0.43
G
0.75
A
1.18
Pts
0.45
PPP
3.06
SOG
1.28
Hits
0.27
Blk
Points
Floor 41Expected 77Ceiling 113
Goals
Floor 16Expected 28Ceiling 40
Assists
Floor 25Expected 49Ceiling 73
What moves the range:
  • Shooting %: expected 14.1% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±6.3 (pure luck).
  • Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
  • Games played: floor assumes 52 (injury), ceiling 71 (full health) vs 65 expected.
  • Linemates: assist swing of ±13.7 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
BasicEverything
ScoringIce timePhysical
SeasonGPGAPSOGSH%PPPTOIPP TOIPP%HITBLKPIM+/-
2026-272101425.0021:487:54753100
2025-26311321348814.81318:183:307229748-6
2024-255222355715614.12318:123:18—841254-3
2023-24802662882809.33218:364:00—151288819
2022-2379406910932212.43620:244:24—683112329
2021-2282426210425316.6—————6857
2020-215616274315110.6—————556
2019-206923386118812.2—————74-5
2018-198034437720716.4—————6214
2017-186824254918812.8—————61-1
2016-17761335481429.2—————10514

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

LeagueSeasonGPGAPPIM
USHL2014-152413203370
USHL2013-14335121718
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