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Matthew Tkachuk

Matthew Tkachuk

LFLA · age 28 · 2025-26 · drafted 2016 by CGY, round 1, #6 overallCompare with…
65
GP
28
G
49
A
77
Pts
29
PPP
199
SOG
83
Hits
17
Blk
Points
Floor 41Expected 77Ceiling 113
Goals
Floor 16Expected 28Ceiling 40
Assists
Floor 25Expected 49Ceiling 73
What moves the range:
  • Shooting %: expected 14.1% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±6.3 (pure luck).
  • Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
  • Games played: floor assumes 52 (injury), ceiling 71 (full health) vs 65 expected.
  • Linemates: assist swing of ±13.7 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
BasicEverything
ScoringIce timePhysicalFaceoffsFinishing
SeasonGPGAPSOGSH%PPPTOIPP TOIES%PP%HITBLKPIMFOWFOLFO%xGG−xG+/-
2026-272101425.0021:487:543175310———0.9+0.10
2025-26311321348814.81318:183:302972297484833.312.3+0.7-6
2024-255222355715614.12318:123:18——8412541420.017.9+4.1-3
2023-24802662882809.33218:364:00——15128883633.336.8-10.819
2022-2379406910932212.43620:244:24——6831123131644.840.4-0.429
2021-2282426210425316.6——————68—————57
2020-215616274315110.6——————55—————6
2019-206923386118812.2——————74—————-5
2018-198034437720716.4——————62—————14
2017-186824254918812.8——————61—————-1
2016-17761335481429.2——————105—————14

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

LeagueSeasonGPGAPPIM
USHL2014-152413203370
USHL2013-14335121718
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