2026-27 projection
81
GP
26
G
20
A
46
Pts
21
PPP
192
SOG
77
Hits
38
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 25Expected 46Ceiling 62
Goals
Floor 15Expected 26Ceiling 35
Assists
Floor 10Expected 20Ceiling 27
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 13.8% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±6.1 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 65 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 81 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±5.5 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
