2026-27 projection
82
GP
0.28
G
0.81
A
1.09
Pts
0.35
PPP
2.07
SOG
0.43
Hits
0.56
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 47Expected 89Ceiling 122
Goals
Floor 12Expected 23Ceiling 31
Assists
Floor 34Expected 66Ceiling 91
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 13.5% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.7 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 66 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 82 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±18.7 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0.0 | 1 | 23:12 | 3:24 | 63 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 |
| 2025-26 | 81 | 24 | 56 | 80 | 165 | 14.5 | 24 | 20:00 | 3:30 | 75 | 24 | 46 | 24 | 17 |
| 2024-25 | 81 | 27 | 75 | 102 | 173 | 15.6 | 33 | 21:18 | 3:00 | — | 49 | 40 | 14 | 18 |
| 2023-24 | 69 | 26 | 59 | 85 | 158 | 16.5 | 27 | 21:18 | 3:12 | — | 59 | 51 | 18 | 21 |
| 2022-23 | 80 | 30 | 69 | 99 | 196 | 15.3 | 36 | 21:18 | 3:36 | — | 53 | 45 | 28 | 18 |
| 2021-22 | 72 | 35 | 62 | 97 | 224 | 15.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | 23 | |
| 2020-21 | 55 | 20 | 47 | 67 | 156 | 12.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | 21 | |
| 2019-20 | 59 | 16 | 51 | 67 | 154 | 10.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | 6 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 26 | 68 | 94 | 233 | 11.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | 22 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 22 | 47 | 69 | 194 | 11.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | -1 | |
| 2016-17 | 77 | 19 | 42 | 61 | 176 | 10.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 38 | 0 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
