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Mitch Marner

Mitch Marner

RVGK · age 29 · 2024-25 with TOR · drafted 2015 by TOR, round 1, #4 overallCompare with…
82
GP
23
G
67
A
89
Pts
29
PPP
170
SOG
35
Hits
46
Blk
Points
Floor 47Expected 89Ceiling 122
Goals
Floor 12Expected 23Ceiling 31
Assists
Floor 34Expected 66Ceiling 91
What moves the range:
  • Shooting %: expected 13.5% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.7 (pure luck).
  • Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
  • Games played: floor assumes 66 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 82 expected.
  • Linemates: assist swing of ±18.7 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
BasicEverything
ScoringIce timePhysical
SeasonGPGAPSOGSH%PPPTOIPP TOIPP%HITBLKPIM+/-
2026-27201150.0123:123:2463110-1
2025-268124568016514.52420:003:307524462417
2024-2581277510217315.63321:183:00—49401418
2023-246926598515816.52721:183:12—59511821
2022-238030699919615.33621:183:36—53452818
2021-227235629722415.6—————1623
2020-215520476715612.8—————2021
2019-205916516715410.4—————166
2018-198226689423311.2—————2222
2017-188222476919411.3—————26-1
2016-177719426117610.8—————380

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

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