2026-27 projection
82
GP
20
G
17
A
37
Pts
2
PPP
135
SOG
205
Hits
51
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 19Expected 36Ceiling 50
Goals
Floor 11Expected 20Ceiling 27
Assists
Floor 9Expected 17Ceiling 23
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 14.8% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.3 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 66 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 82 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±4.7 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 14:24 | 0:06 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.2 | -0.2 | 1 |
| 2025-26 | 81 | 24 | 20 | 44 | 141 | 17.0 | 1 | 16:36 | 1:12 | 26 | 23 | 212 | 52 | 46 | 28 | 53 | 34.6 | 20.7 | +3.3 | 20 |
| 2024-25 | 81 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 126 | 9.5 | 1 | 13:42 | 1:00 | — | — | 193 | 46 | 39 | 19 | 22 | 46.3 | 16.4 | -4.3 | -4 |
| 2023-24 | 81 | 23 | 19 | 42 | 171 | 13.5 | 10 | 16:48 | 1:36 | — | — | 175 | 57 | 36 | 28 | 62 | 31.1 | 21.3 | +1.7 | -7 |
| 2022-23 | 77 | 24 | 21 | 45 | 151 | 15.9 | 8 | 17:48 | 1:42 | — | — | 194 | 58 | 35 | 33 | 49 | 40.2 | 16.6 | +7.4 | -3 |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
