2026-27 projection
76
GP
12
G
17
A
29
Pts
3
PPP
87
SOG
75
Hits
43
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 14Expected 29Ceiling 44
Goals
Floor 5Expected 12Ceiling 18
Assists
Floor 9Expected 17Ceiling 26
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 13.4% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.1 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 61 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 76 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±4.9 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 50.0 | 0 | 12:12 | 0:12 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 33.3 | 0.6 | +0.4 | 1 |
| 2025-26 | 74 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 76 | 10.5 | 2 | 14:30 | 1:00 | 23 | 21 | 71 | 40 | 23 | 377 | 344 | 52.3 | 11.0 | -3.0 | 0 |
| 2024-25 | 71 | 15 | 16 | 31 | 107 | 14.0 | 4 | 15:12 | 1:12 | — | — | 72 | 47 | 43 | 371 | 407 | 47.7 | 14.9 | +0.1 | -4 |
| 2023-24 | 70 | 13 | 28 | 41 | 112 | 11.6 | 7 | 15:30 | 1:36 | — | — | 77 | 35 | 29 | 359 | 408 | 46.8 | 16.3 | -3.3 | 8 |
| 2022-23 | 65 | 14 | 16 | 30 | 101 | 13.9 | 6 | 16:18 | 1:48 | — | — | 83 | 41 | 24 | 369 | 399 | 48.0 | 14.1 | -0.1 | 10 |
| 2021-22 | 78 | 15 | 24 | 39 | 145 | 10.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | |
| 2020-21 | 50 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 52 | 11.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | |
| 2019-20 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 42 | 11.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | |
| 2018-19 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | |
| 2017-18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | -1 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
