2026-27 projection
72
GP
20
G
48
A
69
Pts
18
PPP
166
SOG
32
Hits
45
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 36Expected 69Ceiling 102
Goals
Floor 11Expected 20Ceiling 30
Assists
Floor 25Expected 48Ceiling 72
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 12.2% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.4 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 58 (injury), ceiling 78 (full health) vs 72 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±13.6 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2025-26 | 81 | 19 | 53 | 72 | 184 | 10.3 | 20 | 20:42 | 3:30 | 33 | 66 | 29 | 50 | 61 | 210 | 318 | 39.8 | 23.0 | -4.0 | 10 |
| 2024-25 | 30 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 78 | 7.7 | 4 | 20:24 | 2:54 | — | — | 24 | 24 | 4 | 22 | 30 | 42.3 | 9.4 | -3.4 | 10 |
| 2023-24 | 80 | 23 | 57 | 80 | 240 | 9.6 | 25 | 20:06 | 3:06 | — | — | 54 | 52 | 34 | 49 | 65 | 43.0 | 21.5 | +1.5 | -4 |
| 2022-23 | 58 | 14 | 37 | 51 | 139 | 10.1 | 19 | 18:42 | 3:30 | — | — | 25 | 34 | 22 | 104 | 188 | 35.6 | 14.3 | -0.3 | 5 |
| 2021-22 | 73 | 15 | 44 | 59 | 161 | 9.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | -15 | |
| 2020-21 | 55 | 17 | 28 | 45 | 134 | 12.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | |
| 2019-20 | 68 | 19 | 41 | 60 | 171 | 11.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 18 | 44 | 62 | 179 | 10.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | -5 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 22 | 63 | 85 | 170 | 12.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | |
| 2016-17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | -2 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
