2026-27 projection
82
GP
22
G
45
A
66
Pts
25
PPP
142
SOG
15
Hits
53
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 35Expected 66Ceiling 90
Goals
Floor 12Expected 22Ceiling 29
Assists
Floor 23Expected 45Ceiling 61
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 15.1% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.5 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 66 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 82 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±12.6 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 1 | 15:36 | 2:00 | 57 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | 80 | 19 | 39 | 58 | 143 | 13.3 | 21 | 18:06 | 3:06 | 59 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 2 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 29 | 53 | 82 | 149 | 19.5 | 34 | 17:24 | 3:00 | — | 23 | 54 | 34 | 2 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 27 | 40 | 67 | 169 | 16.0 | 22 | 17:54 | 3:00 | — | 12 | 61 | 22 | -13 |
| 2022-23 | 81 | 23 | 42 | 65 | 154 | 14.9 | 21 | 16:42 | 3:00 | — | 20 | 43 | 24 | -4 |
| 2021-22 | 69 | 22 | 26 | 48 | 126 | 17.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 28 | -6 | |
| 2020-21 | 40 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 71 | 12.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | -16 | |
| 2019-20 | 58 | 12 | 26 | 38 | 97 | 12.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | 1 | |
| 2018-19 | 58 | 17 | 34 | 51 | 105 | 16.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | 2 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
