2026-27 projection
81
GP
27
G
46
A
73
Pts
15
PPP
181
SOG
105
Hits
40
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 39Expected 73Ceiling 100
Goals
Floor 15Expected 27Ceiling 35
Assists
Floor 24Expected 46Ceiling 64
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 14.7% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±6.1 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 65 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 81 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±13 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 16:24 | 3:12 | 25 | 55 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 75.0 | 0.6 | -0.6 | -2 |
| 2025-26 | 77 | 27 | 41 | 68 | 168 | 16.1 | 14 | 19:06 | 2:54 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 38 | 59 | 20 | 33 | 37.7 | 23.1 | +3.9 | 14 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 24 | 52 | 76 | 188 | 12.8 | 17 | 20:36 | 2:48 | — | — | 94 | 42 | 53 | 39 | 61 | 39.0 | 22.7 | +1.3 | -17 |
| 2023-24 | 76 | 33 | 35 | 68 | 244 | 13.5 | 9 | 19:48 | 3:00 | — | — | 90 | 32 | 67 | 39 | 58 | 40.2 | 26.8 | +6.2 | 4 |
| 2022-23 | 60 | 31 | 30 | 61 | 191 | 16.2 | 15 | 20:06 | 2:54 | — | — | 55 | 38 | 77 | 28 | 32 | 46.7 | 19.6 | +11.4 | -12 |
| 2021-22 | 79 | 16 | 36 | 52 | 220 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | -23 | |
| 2020-21 | 50 | 11 | 23 | 34 | 100 | 11.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | -5 | |
| 2019-20 | 66 | 24 | 37 | 61 | 141 | 17.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | -1 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 24 | 25 | 49 | 182 | 13.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | -4 | |
| 2017-18 | 81 | 24 | 23 | 47 | 177 | 13.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | 17 | |
| 2016-17 | 70 | 11 | 17 | 28 | 133 | 8.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | -2 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
