Tommy Novak

CPIT · age 29 · 2024-25 with NSH · drafted 2015 by NSH, round 3, #85 overallCompare with…

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2026-27 projection

Pts

PPP

110

SOG

Hits

Blk

2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling

Points

Floor 18Expected 36Ceiling 54

Goals

Floor 8Expected 15Ceiling 23

Assists

Floor 11Expected 21Ceiling 31

What moves the range:

Shooting %: expected 13.7% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.6 (pure luck).
Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
Games played: floor assumes 58 (injury), ceiling 78 (full health) vs 72 expected.
Linemates: assist swing of ±5.9 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.

NHL seasons

Basic Everything

		Scoring						Ice time				Physical			Faceoffs			Finishing
Season	GP	G	A	P	SOG	SH%	PPP	TOI	PP TOI	ES%	PP%	HIT	BLK	PIM	FOW	FOL	FO%	xG	G−xG	+/-
2026-27	2	2	2	4	3	66.7	2	15:24	3:36	24	56	0	2	0	3	16	15.8	0.5	+1.5	2
2025-26	82	16	26	42	130	12.3	7	14:18	1:18	26	26	12	34	24	216	288	42.9	18.4	-2.4	1
2024-25	54	13	9	22	92	14.1	5	13:12	1:18	—	—	6	26	4	94	126	42.7	10.4	+2.5	-7
2023-24	71	18	27	45	113	15.9	12	14:12	2:06	—	—	5	31	8	211	289	42.2	14.4	+3.6	-3
2022-23	51	17	26	43	93	18.3	12	14:42	2:30	—	—	9	23	8	179	223	44.5	10.2	+6.8	5
2021-22	27	1	6	7	25	4.0		—	—	—	—	—	—	2	—	—	—	—	—	-4

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

Other leagues

League	Season	GP	G	A	P	PIM
AHL	2022-23	25	11	15	26	2
AHL	2021-22	42	7	27	34	16
NCAA	2018-19	38	4	17	21	4
NCAA	2017-18	34	3	23	26	8
NCAA	2016-17	20	5	9	14	10
NCAA	2015-16	37	6	21	27	4
USHL	2014-15	46	14	34	48	12