2026-27 projection
79
GP
7
G
10
A
17
Pts
0
PPP
67
SOG
252
Hits
42
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 8Expected 17Ceiling 25
Goals
Floor 3Expected 7Ceiling 11
Assists
Floor 5Expected 10Ceiling 14
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 10% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±3.1 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 63 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 79 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±2.8 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 10:36 | 0:18 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | 82 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 67 | 9.0 | 0 | 11:30 | 0:06 | 21 | 3 | 270 | 43 | 55 | 12 | 19 | 38.7 | 7.6 | -1.6 | -14 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 12 | 18 | 30 | 88 | 13.6 | 0 | 13:12 | 0:00 | — | — | 237 | 49 | 53 | 6 | 12 | 33.3 | 11.4 | +0.6 | 3 |
| 2023-24 | 79 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 73 | 11.0 | 0 | 10:54 | 0:00 | — | — | 277 | 41 | 49 | 6 | 9 | 40.0 | 7.0 | +1.1 | -8 |
| 2022-23 | 74 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 63 | 12.7 | 0 | 11:30 | 0:00 | — | — | 279 | 31 | 68 | 8 | 16 | 33.3 | 7.3 | +0.7 | 6 |
| 2021-22 | 77 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 94 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | -6 | |
| 2020-21 | 44 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | -4 | |
| 2019-20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
