2026-27 projection
81
GP
31
G
24
A
55
Pts
12
PPP
255
SOG
137
Hits
56
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 30Expected 54Ceiling 73
Goals
Floor 18Expected 31Ceiling 41
Assists
Floor 12Expected 24Ceiling 33
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 12.2% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±6.7 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 65 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 81 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±6.6 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 18:18 | 3:48 | 40 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | 77 | 24 | 20 | 44 | 269 | 8.9 | 10 | 18:48 | 2:06 | 47 | 131 | 53 | 22 | -16 |
| 2024-25 | 80 | 26 | 27 | 53 | 239 | 10.9 | 13 | 17:54 | 1:54 | — | 141 | 65 | 58 | 7 |
| 2023-24 | 69 | 28 | 24 | 52 | 207 | 13.5 | 17 | 17:36 | 2:24 | — | 111 | 42 | 45 | -28 |
| 2022-23 | 78 | 40 | 26 | 66 | 327 | 12.2 | 23 | 19:24 | 2:54 | — | 154 | 37 | 43 | -19 |
| 2021-22 | 77 | 35 | 41 | 76 | 326 | 10.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 54 | -3 | |
| 2020-21 | 54 | 12 | 19 | 31 | 155 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | -5 | |
| 2019-20 | 70 | 22 | 27 | 49 | 199 | 11.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 42 | -22 | |
| 2018-19 | 78 | 30 | 36 | 66 | 250 | 12.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 55 | 9 | |
| 2017-18 | 81 | 21 | 15 | 36 | 210 | 10.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 51 | 2 | |
| 2016-17 | 34 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 85 | 3.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 1 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
