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Connor McDavid

Connor McDavid

CEDM · age 29 · 2026-27 · drafted 2015 by EDM, round 1, #1 overallCompare with…
80
GP
44
G
95
A
140
Pts
53
PPP
280
SOG
49
Hits
29
Blk
Points
Floor 76Expected 140Ceiling 191
Goals
Floor 26Expected 44Ceiling 57
Assists
Floor 49Expected 95Ceiling 134
What moves the range:
  • Shooting %: expected 15.8% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±7.8 (pure luck).
  • Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
  • Games played: floor assumes 64 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 80 expected.
  • Linemates: assist swing of ±26.8 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
BasicEverything
ScoringIce timePhysical
SeasonGPGAPSOGSH%PPPTOIPP TOIPP%HITBLKPIM+/-
2026-273279728.6223:424:48672207
2025-2682489013830615.75423:003:368140304417
2024-2567267410019613.33122:003:12—40183720
2023-24763210013226312.24421:243:24—118393035
2022-2382648915335218.27122:243:54—89403622
2021-2280447912331414.0—————4528
2020-2156337210520016.5—————2021
2019-206434639721216.0—————28-6
2018-1978417511624017.1—————203
2017-1882416710827415.0—————2620
2016-1782307010025112.0—————2627
2015-164516324810515.2—————18-1

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

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