2026-27 projection
80
GP
44
G
95
A
140
Pts
53
PPP
280
SOG
49
Hits
29
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 76Expected 140Ceiling 191
Goals
Floor 26Expected 44Ceiling 57
Assists
Floor 49Expected 95Ceiling 134
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 15.8% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±7.8 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 64 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 80 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±26.8 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 33.3 | 2 | 23:42 | 4:48 | 67 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 2025-26 | 82 | 48 | 90 | 138 | 306 | 15.7 | 54 | 23:00 | 3:36 | 81 | 40 | 30 | 44 | 17 |
| 2024-25 | 67 | 26 | 74 | 100 | 196 | 13.3 | 31 | 22:00 | 3:12 | — | 40 | 18 | 37 | 20 |
| 2023-24 | 76 | 32 | 100 | 132 | 263 | 12.2 | 44 | 21:24 | 3:24 | — | 118 | 39 | 30 | 35 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 64 | 89 | 153 | 352 | 18.2 | 71 | 22:24 | 3:54 | — | 89 | 40 | 36 | 22 |
| 2021-22 | 80 | 44 | 79 | 123 | 314 | 14.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 45 | 28 | |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 33 | 72 | 105 | 200 | 16.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | 21 | |
| 2019-20 | 64 | 34 | 63 | 97 | 212 | 16.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 28 | -6 | |
| 2018-19 | 78 | 41 | 75 | 116 | 240 | 17.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | 3 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 41 | 67 | 108 | 274 | 15.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | 20 | |
| 2016-17 | 82 | 30 | 70 | 100 | 251 | 12.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | 27 | |
| 2015-16 | 45 | 16 | 32 | 48 | 105 | 15.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | -1 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
