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Connor McDavid

Connor McDavid

CEDM · age 29 · 2023-24 · drafted 2015 by EDM, round 1, #1 overallCompare with…
80
GP
44
G
95
A
140
Pts
53
PPP
280
SOG
49
Hits
29
Blk
Points
Floor 76Expected 140Ceiling 191
Goals
Floor 26Expected 44Ceiling 57
Assists
Floor 49Expected 95Ceiling 134
What moves the range:
  • Shooting %: expected 15.8% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±7.8 (pure luck).
  • Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
  • Games played: floor assumes 64 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 80 expected.
  • Linemates: assist swing of ±26.8 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
BasicEverything
ScoringIce timePhysicalFaceoffsFinishing
SeasonGPGAPSOGSH%PPPTOIPP TOIES%PP%HITBLKPIMFOWFOLFO%xGG−xG+/-
2026-273279728.6223:424:483667220192048.71.3+0.77
2025-2682489013830615.75423:003:36358140304445746649.543.9+4.117
2024-2567267410019613.33122:003:12——40183737040647.728.9-2.920
2023-24763210013226312.24421:243:24——118393044242351.133.4-1.435
2022-2382648915335218.27122:243:54——89403652548651.944.7+19.322
2021-2280447912331414.0——————45—————28
2020-2156337210520016.5——————20—————21
2019-206434639721216.0——————28—————-6
2018-1978417511624017.1——————20—————3
2017-1882416710827415.0——————26—————20
2016-1782307010025112.0——————26—————27
2015-164516324810515.2——————18—————-1

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

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