2026-27 projection
72
GP
22
G
25
A
47
Pts
9
PPP
168
SOG
27
Hits
35
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 25Expected 47Ceiling 70
Goals
Floor 12Expected 22Ceiling 32
Assists
Floor 13Expected 25Ceiling 38
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 13.1% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.6 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 58 (injury), ceiling 78 (full health) vs 72 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±7.2 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 16:18 | 2:06 | 30 | 49 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | -1 |
| 2025-26 | 69 | 25 | 29 | 54 | 175 | 14.3 | 9 | 14:36 | 2:06 | 25 | 41 | 24 | 36 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 50.0 | 22.7 | +2.3 | 20 |
| 2024-25 | 67 | 15 | 12 | 27 | 158 | 9.5 | 3 | 15:00 | 1:06 | — | — | 32 | 23 | 24 | 17 | 35 | 32.7 | 16.4 | -1.4 | -3 |
| 2023-24 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 59 | 10.2 | 5 | 16:42 | 3:12 | — | — | 8 | 18 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 33.3 | 6.5 | -0.5 | 4 |
| 2022-23 | 77 | 26 | 33 | 59 | 228 | 11.4 | 25 | 17:06 | 2:12 | — | — | 25 | 48 | 24 | 27 | 40 | 40.3 | 23.2 | +2.8 | -4 |
| 2021-22 | 66 | 20 | 29 | 49 | 227 | 8.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | |
| 2020-21 | 50 | 10 | 15 | 25 | 151 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | |
| 2019-20 | 57 | 15 | 13 | 28 | 127 | 11.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | -4 | |
| 2018-19 | 58 | 34 | 14 | 48 | 195 | 17.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | |
| 2017-18 | 78 | 29 | 32 | 61 | 247 | 11.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | |
| 2016-17 | 80 | 31 | 30 | 61 | 246 | 12.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | |
| 2015-16 | 56 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 139 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | -8 | |
| 2014-15 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
