2026-27 projection
78
GP
12
G
17
A
29
Pts
1
PPP
90
SOG
98
Hits
46
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 15Expected 29Ceiling 43
Goals
Floor 6Expected 12Ceiling 18
Assists
Floor 9Expected 17Ceiling 25
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 13.6% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.2 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 78 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±4.8 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 100.0 | 0 | 19:12 | 0:36 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.5 | +0.5 | 1 |
| 2025-26 | 81 | 15 | 20 | 35 | 96 | 15.6 | 0 | 16:06 | 0:18 | 30 | 5 | 105 | 51 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 36.8 | 12.8 | +2.2 | 13 |
| 2024-25 | 72 | 11 | 16 | 27 | 85 | 12.9 | 1 | 14:06 | 0:24 | — | — | 108 | 44 | 18 | 49 | 47 | 51.0 | 11.5 | -0.5 | 12 |
| 2023-24 | 73 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 117 | 12.0 | 5 | 13:24 | 0:54 | — | — | 48 | 34 | 16 | 69 | 65 | 51.5 | 13.0 | +1.0 | 4 |
| 2022-23 | 67 | 16 | 11 | 27 | 99 | 16.2 | 2 | 12:12 | 0:36 | — | — | 56 | 27 | 12 | 31 | 32 | 49.2 | 12.3 | +3.7 | 2 |
| 2021-22 | 56 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 64 | 17.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | |
| 2020-21 | 25 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | -3 | |
| 2019-20 | 68 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 99 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | -11 | |
| 2018-19 | 43 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 16.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | -1 | |
| 2017-18 | 37 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 14.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | -2 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
