2026-27 projection
77
GP
31
G
41
A
72
Pts
21
PPP
167
SOG
16
Hits
34
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 39Expected 72Ceiling 102
Goals
Floor 17Expected 30Ceiling 42
Assists
Floor 21Expected 41Ceiling 60
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 18.2% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±6.4 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 77 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±11.5 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 21:36 | 6:48 | 32 | 66 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 33.3 | 0.7 | -0.7 | 1 |
| 2025-26 | 63 | 18 | 32 | 50 | 129 | 14.0 | 11 | 18:18 | 3:42 | 29 | 69 | 8 | 23 | 14 | 299 | 354 | 45.8 | 21.4 | -3.4 | 12 |
| 2024-25 | 77 | 42 | 40 | 82 | 189 | 22.2 | 31 | 19:30 | 3:30 | — | — | 26 | 45 | 7 | 430 | 456 | 48.5 | 33.4 | +8.6 | 17 |
| 2023-24 | 81 | 46 | 44 | 90 | 227 | 20.3 | 32 | 20:00 | 3:42 | — | — | 16 | 44 | 14 | 294 | 350 | 45.6 | 34.6 | +11.4 | -16 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 51 | 44 | 95 | 235 | 21.7 | 30 | 19:42 | 3:48 | — | — | 37 | 37 | 7 | 417 | 405 | 50.7 | 34.7 | +16.3 | 2 |
| 2021-22 | 66 | 28 | 30 | 58 | 176 | 15.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | -5 | |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 23 | 25 | 48 | 131 | 17.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | |
| 2019-20 | 66 | 25 | 39 | 64 | 141 | 17.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | 28 | |
| 2018-19 | 79 | 41 | 51 | 92 | 191 | 21.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | 27 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 32 | 34 | 66 | 217 | 14.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | |
| 2016-17 | 68 | 18 | 22 | 40 | 122 | 14.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
