2026-27 projection
78
GP
18
G
27
A
46
Pts
4
PPP
123
SOG
38
Hits
55
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 24Expected 46Ceiling 66
Goals
Floor 10Expected 18Ceiling 26
Assists
Floor 14Expected 27Ceiling 40
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 14.9% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.1 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 78 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±7.7 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 17:12 | 1:36 | 28 | 27 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 18 | 58.1 | 0.7 | -0.7 | -1 |
| 2025-26 | 80 | 18 | 33 | 51 | 151 | 11.9 | 5 | 18:30 | 1:42 | 29 | 34 | 38 | 52 | 27 | 629 | 525 | 54.5 | 24.4 | -6.4 | 11 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 12 | 21 | 33 | 104 | 11.5 | 2 | 15:12 | 0:24 | — | — | 44 | 74 | 16 | 591 | 469 | 55.8 | 13.8 | -1.8 | -5 |
| 2023-24 | 30 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 35 | 14.3 | 1 | 15:30 | 0:42 | — | — | 16 | 19 | 4 | 197 | 144 | 57.8 | 4.0 | +1.0 | -5 |
| 2022-23 | 64 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 88 | 11.4 | 3 | 16:54 | 1:48 | — | — | 13 | 66 | 6 | 477 | 440 | 52.0 | 11.4 | -1.4 | -12 |
| 2021-22 | 56 | 11 | 22 | 33 | 87 | 12.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | -19 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
