2026-27 projection
82
GP
32
G
39
A
71
Pts
16
PPP
224
SOG
119
Hits
38
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 38Expected 71Ceiling 95
Goals
Floor 18Expected 32Ceiling 41
Assists
Floor 20Expected 39Ceiling 54
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 14.3% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±6.7 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 66 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 82 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±11.1 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11.1 | 2 | 20:42 | 4:06 | 33 | 65 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 50.0 | 1.6 | -0.6 | -2 |
| 2025-26 | 81 | 36 | 37 | 73 | 226 | 15.9 | 12 | 19:18 | 3:00 | 31 | 62 | 127 | 39 | 58 | 54 | 95 | 36.2 | 28.1 | +7.9 | 14 |
| 2024-25 | 81 | 35 | 38 | 73 | 237 | 14.8 | 18 | 19:12 | 2:48 | — | — | 100 | 36 | 36 | 11 | 13 | 45.8 | 29.0 | +6.0 | 22 |
| 2023-24 | 77 | 28 | 47 | 75 | 246 | 11.4 | 27 | 18:54 | 3:06 | — | — | 112 | 32 | 72 | 3 | 10 | 23.1 | 25.1 | +2.9 | 13 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 41 | 26 | 67 | 250 | 16.4 | 20 | 18:48 | 2:54 | — | — | 119 | 32 | 55 | 16 | 35 | 31.4 | 25.7 | +15.3 | 22 |
| 2021-22 | 78 | 35 | 19 | 54 | 247 | 14.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | -2 | |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 127 | 11.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | -18 | |
| 2019-20 | 69 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 148 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | -10 | |
| 2018-19 | 81 | 12 | 16 | 28 | 118 | 10.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | -10 | |
| 2017-18 | 81 | 16 | 21 | 37 | 119 | 13.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | |
| 2016-17 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | -3 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
