2026-27 projection
82
GP
36
G
75
A
111
Pts
34
PPP
295
SOG
80
Hits
30
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 60Expected 111Ceiling 149
Goals
Floor 21Expected 36Ceiling 47
Assists
Floor 39Expected 75Ceiling 103
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 12.3% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±7.2 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 66 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 82 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±21.1 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0.0 | 0 | 21:48 | 3:24 | 33 | 72 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | 1.1 | -1.1 | 1 |
| 2025-26 | 77 | 29 | 71 | 100 | 261 | 11.1 | 33 | 20:42 | 3:36 | 34 | 71 | 86 | 32 | 72 | 2 | 7 | 22.2 | 29.3 | -0.3 | 4 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 43 | 63 | 106 | 319 | 13.5 | 23 | 20:12 | 3:30 | — | — | 58 | 24 | 42 | 3 | 5 | 37.5 | 33.8 | +9.2 | 0 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 47 | 63 | 110 | 382 | 12.3 | 35 | 19:54 | 3:48 | — | — | 70 | 19 | 47 | 8 | 16 | 33.3 | 41.2 | +5.8 | 21 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 61 | 52 | 113 | 407 | 15.0 | 37 | 19:36 | 3:48 | — | — | 91 | 33 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 42.1 | 39.3 | +21.7 | 34 |
| 2021-22 | 72 | 40 | 37 | 77 | 312 | 12.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | |
| 2020-21 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 48 | 176 | 11.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | |
| 2019-20 | 70 | 48 | 47 | 95 | 279 | 17.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | 21 | |
| 2018-19 | 66 | 38 | 43 | 81 | 235 | 16.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 35 | 45 | 80 | 246 | 14.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | |
| 2016-17 | 75 | 34 | 36 | 70 | 262 | 13.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | |
| 2015-16 | 51 | 15 | 11 | 26 | 108 | 13.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | |
| 2014-15 | 46 | 10 | 17 | 27 | 93 | 10.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
