2026-27 projection
75
GP
0.31
G
0.42
A
0.73
Pts
0.23
PPP
2.23
SOG
0.68
Hits
0.49
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 29Expected 55Ceiling 80
Goals
Floor 13Expected 24Ceiling 34
Assists
Floor 16Expected 31Ceiling 46
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 14% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.7 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 60 (injury), ceiling 81 (full health) vs 75 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±8.8 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 0.0 | 1 | 16:00 | 2:12 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025-26 | 52 | 20 | 20 | 40 | 117 | 17.1 | 13 | 16:30 | 2:48 | 54 | 40 | 25 | 11 | -7 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 22 | 39 | 61 | 202 | 10.9 | 16 | 17:12 | 2:36 | — | 47 | 50 | 18 | 8 |
| 2023-24 | 80 | 29 | 33 | 62 | 216 | 13.4 | 23 | 16:48 | 2:36 | — | 45 | 27 | 31 | -10 |
| 2022-23 | 79 | 40 | 30 | 70 | 210 | 19.0 | 16 | 16:18 | 2:42 | — | 65 | 28 | 14 | 18 |
| 2021-22 | 74 | 27 | 23 | 50 | 199 | 13.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 33 | -26 | |
| 2020-21 | 43 | 14 | 18 | 32 | 93 | 15.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 17 | |
| 2019-20 | 66 | 14 | 21 | 35 | 150 | 9.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 17 | 6 | |
| 2018-19 | 78 | 19 | 16 | 35 | 150 | 12.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 31 | -1 | |
| 2017-18 | 68 | 9 | 19 | 28 | 143 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 30 | 11 | |
| 2016-17 | 29 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 44 | 2.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | -1 | |
| 2015-16 | 69 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 106 | 8.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 32 | -6 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
