Alex Tuch

RWSH · age 30 · 2023-24 with BUF · drafted 2014 by MIN, round 1, #18 overallCompare with…

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2026-27 projection

Pts

PPP

186

SOG

Hits

Blk

2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling

Points

Floor 33Expected 62Ceiling 86

Goals

Floor 16Expected 28Ceiling 37

Assists

Floor 18Expected 34Ceiling 48

What moves the range:

Shooting %: expected 15% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±6.2 (pure luck).
Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
Games played: floor assumes 64 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 80 expected.
Linemates: assist swing of ±9.7 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.

NHL seasons

Basic Everything

		Scoring						Ice time			Physical
Season	GP	G	A	P	SOG	SH%	PPP	TOI	PP TOI	PP%	HIT	BLK	PIM	+/-
2026-27	2	2	0	2	5	40.0	0	17:18	1:24	40	3	1	0	2
2025-26	79	33	33	66	195	16.9	9	19:18	1:48	34	82	90	57	24
2024-25	82	36	31	67	196	18.4	11	19:18	2:18	—	73	113	47	16
2023-24	75	22	37	59	192	11.5	11	19:30	2:36	—	72	82	54	9
2022-23	74	36	43	79	218	16.5	20	19:12	3:24	—	54	46	20	14
2021-22	50	12	26	38	139	8.6		—	—	—	—	—	14	-3
2020-21	55	18	15	33	142	12.7		—	—	—	—	—	28	16
2019-20	42	8	9	17	98	8.2		—	—	—	—	—	8	-10
2018-19	74	20	32	52	180	11.1		—	—	—	—	—	8	13
2017-18	78	15	22	37	171	8.8		—	—	—	—	—	27	3
2016-17	6	0	0	0	8	0.0		—	—	—	—	—	0	-3

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

Other leagues

League	Season	GP	G	A	P	PIM
USHL	2013-14	26	13	19	32	36
USHL	2012-13	38	4	6	10	24