2026-27 projection
83
GP
10
G
25
A
34
Pts
3
PPP
106
SOG
60
Hits
155
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 17Expected 34Ceiling 48
Goals
Floor 4Expected 10Ceiling 14
Assists
Floor 13Expected 25Ceiling 34
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 9% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±3.8 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 66 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 83 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±7 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 14.3 | 0 | 24:24 | 1:00 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -2 |
| 2025-26 | 81 | 11 | 26 | 37 | 95 | 11.6 | 3 | 24:18 | 1:18 | 25 | 46 | 152 | 20 | 12 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 139 | 5.8 | 2 | 24:30 | 0:42 | — | 84 | 170 | 40 | -6 |
| 2023-24 | 81 | 10 | 34 | 44 | 146 | 6.8 | 5 | 23:48 | 1:30 | — | 94 | 149 | 48 | -20 |
| 2022-23 | 81 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 111 | 6.3 | 1 | 20:24 | 0:30 | — | 61 | 137 | 40 | -5 |
| 2021-22 | 80 | 7 | 24 | 31 | 123 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 34 | 9 | |
| 2020-21 | 55 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 100 | 3.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 23 | -22 | |
| 2019-20 | 69 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 110 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 32 | 4 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 9 | 26 | 35 | 121 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | -4 | |
| 2017-18 | 49 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 72 | 2.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | -6 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
