2026-27 projection
77
GP
22
G
43
A
65
Pts
26
PPP
187
SOG
26
Hits
27
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 34Expected 65Ceiling 95
Goals
Floor 12Expected 22Ceiling 32
Assists
Floor 22Expected 43Ceiling 63
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 11.8% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.6 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 77 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±12.1 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0.0 | 1 | 17:24 | 5:12 | 27 | 59 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.8 | -0.8 | -2 |
| 2025-26 | 82 | 26 | 45 | 71 | 207 | 12.6 | 29 | 16:36 | 2:54 | 27 | 57 | 21 | 24 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 35.5 | 19.7 | +6.3 | 8 |
| 2024-25 | 69 | 24 | 39 | 63 | 174 | 13.8 | 22 | 15:48 | 2:30 | — | — | 38 | 33 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 26.3 | 20.7 | +3.3 | 14 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 25 | 36 | 61 | 233 | 10.7 | 7 | 15:54 | 2:12 | — | — | 30 | 39 | 29 | 4 | 11 | 26.7 | 20.7 | +4.3 | 27 |
| 2022-23 | 45 | 12 | 26 | 38 | 132 | 9.1 | 12 | 15:36 | 2:54 | — | — | 36 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 12.5 | -0.5 | -2 |
| 2021-22 | 62 | 28 | 27 | 55 | 245 | 11.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | |
| 2020-21 | 47 | 21 | 25 | 46 | 148 | 14.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | |
| 2019-20 | 71 | 25 | 33 | 58 | 203 | 12.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | |
| 2018-19 | 62 | 21 | 16 | 37 | 158 | 13.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 29 | 31 | 60 | 231 | 12.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | |
| 2016-17 | 82 | 25 | 39 | 64 | 204 | 12.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | |
| 2015-16 | 72 | 15 | 23 | 38 | 167 | 9.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
