2026-27 projection
79
GP
33
G
55
A
88
Pts
29
PPP
214
SOG
17
Hits
29
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 47Expected 88Ceiling 122
Goals
Floor 19Expected 33Ceiling 44
Assists
Floor 28Expected 55Ceiling 78
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 15.4% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±6.8 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 63 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 79 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±15.4 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 25.0 | 0 | 19:18 | 4:12 | 31 | 56 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 25.0 | 1.4 | +0.6 | -2 |
| 2025-26 | 65 | 30 | 49 | 79 | 156 | 19.2 | 22 | 19:24 | 2:48 | 32 | 62 | 13 | 26 | 16 | 31 | 50 | 38.3 | 21.0 | +9.0 | -14 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 45 | 39 | 84 | 253 | 17.8 | 30 | 19:30 | 3:12 | — | — | 14 | 27 | 26 | 76 | 77 | 49.7 | 32.0 | +13.0 | 10 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 40 | 58 | 98 | 316 | 12.7 | 35 | 19:54 | 3:24 | — | — | 32 | 29 | 24 | 56 | 63 | 47.1 | 32.3 | +7.8 | 1 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 40 | 47 | 87 | 293 | 13.7 | 28 | 18:30 | 3:36 | — | — | 18 | 26 | 28 | 25 | 34 | 42.4 | 33.0 | +7.0 | 10 |
| 2021-22 | 81 | 34 | 46 | 80 | 256 | 13.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | -9 | |
| 2020-21 | 51 | 17 | 25 | 42 | 133 | 12.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | |
| 2019-20 | 68 | 31 | 28 | 59 | 197 | 15.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | -2 | |
| 2018-19 | 54 | 7 | 20 | 27 | 130 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | -4 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 20 | 41 | 61 | 184 | 10.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | |
| 2016-17 | 81 | 22 | 39 | 61 | 205 | 10.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | -3 | |
| 2015-16 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 14.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
