2026-27 projection
77
GP
0.50
G
0.95
A
1.45
Pts
0.62
PPP
2.91
SOG
0.50
Hits
0.29
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 60Expected 112Ceiling 159
Goals
Floor 23Expected 39Ceiling 52
Assists
Floor 38Expected 73Ceiling 106
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 17.3% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±7.2 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 77 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±20.5 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 20.0 | 2 | 21:54 | 4:48 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025-26 | 65 | 35 | 62 | 97 | 186 | 18.8 | 42 | 21:36 | 3:30 | 80 | 34 | 15 | 26 | 13 |
| 2024-25 | 71 | 52 | 54 | 106 | 240 | 21.7 | 33 | 21:30 | 3:18 | — | 23 | 27 | 34 | 32 |
| 2023-24 | 81 | 41 | 65 | 106 | 217 | 18.9 | 39 | 20:42 | 3:24 | — | 58 | 26 | 76 | 26 |
| 2022-23 | 80 | 52 | 76 | 128 | 247 | 21.1 | 62 | 21:42 | 4:00 | — | 66 | 40 | 24 | 7 |
| 2021-22 | 80 | 55 | 55 | 110 | 278 | 19.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 40 | 17 | |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 31 | 53 | 84 | 168 | 18.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | 29 | |
| 2019-20 | 71 | 43 | 67 | 110 | 218 | 19.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | -7 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 50 | 55 | 105 | 231 | 21.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 52 | 2 | |
| 2017-18 | 78 | 25 | 45 | 70 | 194 | 12.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 30 | -7 | |
| 2016-17 | 82 | 29 | 48 | 77 | 172 | 16.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | 7 | |
| 2015-16 | 72 | 19 | 32 | 51 | 133 | 14.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | -2 | |
| 2014-15 | 37 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 4.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | -17 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
