2026-27 projection
75
GP
9
G
16
A
24
Pts
3
PPP
83
SOG
38
Hits
54
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 12Expected 24Ceiling 37
Goals
Floor 4Expected 9Ceiling 14
Assists
Floor 8Expected 16Ceiling 23
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 10.4% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±3.6 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 60 (injury), ceiling 81 (full health) vs 75 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±4.4 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 50.0 | 0 | 12:48 | 0:06 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 47.6 | 0.2 | +0.8 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | 68 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 70 | 10.0 | 3 | 16:12 | 0:30 | 26 | 11 | 35 | 52 | 11 | 296 | 385 | 43.5 | 7.5 | -0.5 | -1 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 18 | 19 | 37 | 110 | 16.4 | 5 | 15:42 | 1:12 | — | — | 47 | 61 | 8 | 529 | 568 | 48.2 | 11.9 | +6.1 | -2 |
| 2023-24 | 67 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 105 | 4.8 | 7 | 13:54 | 1:18 | — | — | 24 | 47 | 12 | 273 | 274 | 49.9 | 7.4 | -2.4 | -23 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 19 | 19 | 38 | 138 | 13.8 | 4 | 16:00 | 1:12 | — | — | 42 | 52 | 10 | 500 | 515 | 49.3 | 13.5 | +5.5 | 10 |
| 2021-22 | 76 | 14 | 30 | 44 | 132 | 10.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | |
| 2020-21 | 19 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 10.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | |
| 2018-19 | 55 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | |
| 2017-18 | 20 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | |
| 2016-17 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
