2026-27 projection
78
GP
0.27
G
0.36
A
0.63
Pts
0.13
PPP
1.69
SOG
0.69
Hits
0.48
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 26Expected 49Ceiling 70
Goals
Floor 11Expected 21Ceiling 30
Assists
Floor 14Expected 28Ceiling 40
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 16% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.4 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 78 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±7.8 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
