2026-27 projection
81
GP
14
G
32
A
46
Pts
13
PPP
87
SOG
31
Hits
87
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 23Expected 46Ceiling 65
Goals
Floor 7Expected 14Ceiling 20
Assists
Floor 17Expected 32Ceiling 45
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 15.8% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.4 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 65 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 81 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±9.1 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 20:12 | 4:00 | 28 | 84 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 14 | 54.8 | 0.3 | -0.3 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | 80 | 18 | 37 | 55 | 93 | 19.4 | 15 | 20:30 | 3:18 | 30 | 60 | 28 | 93 | 18 | 655 | 745 | 46.8 | 13.5 | +4.5 | -25 |
| 2024-25 | 77 | 10 | 25 | 35 | 82 | 12.2 | 10 | 18:54 | 2:48 | — | — | 30 | 80 | 14 | 508 | 561 | 47.5 | 10.7 | -0.7 | -21 |
| 2023-24 | 79 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 90 | 11.1 | 6 | 18:00 | 1:48 | — | — | 46 | 75 | 14 | 552 | 636 | 46.5 | 10.7 | -0.7 | 0 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 13 | 25 | 38 | 101 | 12.9 | 9 | 18:42 | 2:18 | — | — | 43 | 63 | 20 | 627 | 748 | 45.6 | 13.7 | -0.7 | -7 |
| 2021-22 | 80 | 11 | 26 | 37 | 95 | 11.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | -26 | |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 17 | 12 | 29 | 82 | 20.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | |
| 2019-20 | 57 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 72 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | -5 | |
| 2018-19 | 75 | 2 | 23 | 25 | 64 | 3.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | -1 | |
| 2017-18 | 66 | 8 | 27 | 35 | 74 | 10.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | |
| 2016-17 | 80 | 13 | 46 | 59 | 109 | 11.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | |
| 2015-16 | 69 | 8 | 32 | 40 | 97 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | -1 | |
| 2014-15 | 68 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 85 | 4.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | -19 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
