2026-27 projection
79
GP
33
G
31
A
63
Pts
16
PPP
238
SOG
69
Hits
42
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 34Expected 63Ceiling 88
Goals
Floor 19Expected 32Ceiling 44
Assists
Floor 16Expected 31Ceiling 44
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 13.7% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±6.8 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 63 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 79 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±8.7 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12.5 | 1 | 20:30 | 4:42 | 68 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 2025-26 | 68 | 31 | 26 | 57 | 226 | 13.7 | 16 | 20:48 | 3:36 | 64 | 51 | 38 | 40 | 8 |
| 2024-25 | 81 | 28 | 29 | 57 | 243 | 11.5 | 7 | 20:12 | 2:54 | — | 100 | 40 | 16 | -4 |
| 2023-24 | 81 | 33 | 35 | 68 | 248 | 13.3 | 18 | 19:42 | 3:00 | — | 61 | 42 | 39 | -1 |
| 2022-23 | 79 | 38 | 32 | 70 | 229 | 16.6 | 22 | 20:42 | 3:30 | — | 57 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 2021-22 | 70 | 31 | 21 | 52 | 194 | 16.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 40 | 3 | |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 19 | 20 | 39 | 131 | 14.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 23 | -6 | |
| 2019-20 | 69 | 22 | 31 | 53 | 178 | 12.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 21 | -15 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 27 | 34 | 61 | 227 | 11.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 33 | -4 | |
| 2017-18 | 64 | 22 | 22 | 44 | 158 | 13.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | -1 | |
| 2016-17 | 81 | 20 | 32 | 52 | 158 | 12.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 27 | -7 | |
| 2015-16 | 82 | 16 | 24 | 40 | 155 | 10.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | -30 | |
| 2014-15 | 68 | 13 | 12 | 25 | 93 | 14.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | -8 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
