2026-27 projection
72
GP
0.23
G
0.38
A
0.61
Pts
0.16
PPP
1.73
SOG
0.55
Hits
0.47
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 23Expected 44Ceiling 65
Goals
Floor 9Expected 17Ceiling 25
Assists
Floor 14Expected 27Ceiling 40
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 13.6% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.9 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 58 (injury), ceiling 78 (full health) vs 72 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±7.6 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 50.0 | 1 | 16:12 | 1:18 | 36 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 |
| 2025-26 | 78 | 13 | 23 | 36 | 131 | 9.9 | 10 | 17:06 | 2:00 | 46 | 46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 2024-25 | 54 | 19 | 38 | 57 | 128 | 14.8 | 14 | 19:00 | 2:36 | — | 30 | 34 | 20 | 19 |
| 2023-24 | 83 | 26 | 33 | 59 | 171 | 15.2 | 21 | 18:06 | 3:18 | — | 29 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 2022-23 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 55 | 10.9 | 4 | 17:24 | 3:12 | — | 10 | 8 | 16 | -5 |
| 2021-22 | 65 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 111 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | -15 | |
| 2020-21 | 50 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 98 | 10.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | -6 | |
| 2019-20 | 70 | 22 | 26 | 48 | 166 | 13.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 25 | -16 | |
| 2018-19 | 78 | 34 | 48 | 82 | 211 | 16.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | 7 | |
| 2017-18 | 74 | 31 | 33 | 64 | 202 | 15.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | 3 | |
| 2016-17 | 82 | 27 | 31 | 58 | 199 | 13.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | -1 | |
| 2015-16 | 81 | 27 | 36 | 63 | 197 | 13.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | -6 | |
| 2014-15 | 81 | 31 | 31 | 62 | 191 | 16.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | 8 | |
| 2013-14 | 75 | 22 | 12 | 34 | 140 | 15.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | -20 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
