2026-27 projection
80
GP
0.26
G
0.42
A
0.68
Pts
0.24
PPP
1.68
SOG
0.88
Hits
0.85
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 29Expected 54Ceiling 76
Goals
Floor 11Expected 20Ceiling 28
Assists
Floor 18Expected 34Ceiling 48
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 15.3% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.3 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 64 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 80 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±9.6 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 14.3 | 0 | 16:36 | 1:30 | 31 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 2025-26 | 69 | 17 | 31 | 48 | 114 | 14.9 | 20 | 17:54 | 2:42 | 55 | 41 | 59 | 38 | -7 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 17 | 30 | 47 | 152 | 11.2 | 14 | 18:06 | 2:54 | — | 114 | 79 | 14 | -4 |
| 2023-24 | 75 | 15 | 29 | 44 | 173 | 8.7 | 12 | 19:42 | 2:54 | — | 89 | 61 | 25 | -14 |
| 2022-23 | 80 | 22 | 42 | 64 | 186 | 11.8 | 21 | 18:42 | 2:54 | — | 98 | 50 | 14 | 6 |
| 2021-22 | 82 | 42 | 40 | 82 | 235 | 17.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | 61 | |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 19 | 28 | 47 | 130 | 14.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | 10 | |
| 2019-20 | 70 | 29 | 25 | 54 | 169 | 17.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | -8 | |
| 2018-19 | 81 | 27 | 51 | 78 | 182 | 14.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | 30 | |
| 2017-18 | 81 | 16 | 28 | 44 | 153 | 10.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | -8 | |
| 2016-17 | 72 | 11 | 34 | 45 | 151 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | -2 | |
| 2015-16 | 82 | 11 | 28 | 39 | 176 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | -23 | |
| 2014-15 | 81 | 17 | 22 | 39 | 170 | 10.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | -23 | |
| 2013-14 | 58 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 70 | 12.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | -14 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
