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Nathan MacKinnon

Nathan MacKinnon

CCOL · age 31 · 2025-26 · drafted 2013 by COL, round 1, #1 overallCompare with…
81
GP
46
G
84
A
130
Pts
36
PPP
345
SOG
57
Hits
44
Blk
Points
Floor 71Expected 130Ceiling 175
Goals
Floor 28Expected 46Ceiling 59
Assists
Floor 43Expected 84Ceiling 116
What moves the range:
  • Shooting %: expected 13.4% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±8.1 (pure luck).
  • Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
  • Games played: floor assumes 65 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 81 expected.
  • Linemates: assist swing of ±23.5 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
BasicEverything
ScoringIce timePhysical
SeasonGPGAPSOGSH%PPPTOIPP TOIPP%HITBLKPIM+/-
2026-271202825.0118:004:3655205-2
2025-2680537412735015.13022:184:187364353957
2024-2579328411632010.03822:483:48—38584125
2023-2482518914040512.64822:484:30—55694235
2022-2371426911136611.53422:184:06—53403029
2021-226532568829910.7—————4222
2020-21482045652069.7—————3722
2019-206935589331811.0—————1213
2018-198241589936511.2—————3420
2017-187439589728413.7—————5511
2016-17821637532516.4—————16-14
2015-16722131522458.6—————20-4
2014-15641424381927.3—————34-7
2013-148224396324110.0—————2620

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

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