2026-27 projection
81
GP
0.57
G
1.03
A
1.60
Pts
0.44
PPP
4.26
SOG
0.70
Hits
0.54
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 71Expected 130Ceiling 175
Goals
Floor 28Expected 46Ceiling 59
Assists
Floor 43Expected 84Ceiling 116
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 13.4% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±8.1 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 65 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 81 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±23.5 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 16.7 | 1 | 18:00 | 4:36 | 55 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| 2025-26 | 80 | 53 | 74 | 127 | 350 | 15.1 | 30 | 22:18 | 4:18 | 73 | 64 | 35 | 39 | 57 |
| 2024-25 | 79 | 32 | 84 | 116 | 320 | 10.0 | 38 | 22:48 | 3:48 | — | 38 | 58 | 41 | 25 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 51 | 89 | 140 | 405 | 12.6 | 48 | 22:48 | 4:30 | — | 55 | 69 | 42 | 35 |
| 2022-23 | 71 | 42 | 69 | 111 | 366 | 11.5 | 34 | 22:18 | 4:06 | — | 53 | 40 | 30 | 29 |
| 2021-22 | 65 | 32 | 56 | 88 | 299 | 10.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 42 | 22 | |
| 2020-21 | 48 | 20 | 45 | 65 | 206 | 9.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 37 | 22 | |
| 2019-20 | 69 | 35 | 58 | 93 | 318 | 11.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | 13 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 41 | 58 | 99 | 365 | 11.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 34 | 20 | |
| 2017-18 | 74 | 39 | 58 | 97 | 284 | 13.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 55 | 11 | |
| 2016-17 | 82 | 16 | 37 | 53 | 251 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | -14 | |
| 2015-16 | 72 | 21 | 31 | 52 | 245 | 8.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | -4 | |
| 2014-15 | 64 | 14 | 24 | 38 | 192 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 34 | -7 | |
| 2013-14 | 82 | 24 | 39 | 63 | 241 | 10.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | 20 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
