2026-27 projection
80
GP
26
G
25
A
51
Pts
19
PPP
146
SOG
60
Hits
27
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 27Expected 51Ceiling 70
Goals
Floor 14Expected 26Ceiling 35
Assists
Floor 13Expected 25Ceiling 35
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 17.7% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.9 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 64 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 80 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±7.1 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 17:36 | 3:12 | 28 | 61 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.2 | -0.2 | -2 |
| 2025-26 | 79 | 32 | 26 | 58 | 164 | 19.5 | 21 | 18:24 | 3:18 | 30 | 65 | 55 | 24 | 42 | 51 | 62 | 45.1 | 27.0 | +5.0 | -16 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 23 | 23 | 46 | 131 | 17.6 | 20 | 16:00 | 2:30 | — | — | 60 | 28 | 51 | 22 | 25 | 46.8 | 20.1 | +2.9 | -39 |
| 2023-24 | 80 | 21 | 22 | 43 | 160 | 13.1 | 6 | 16:00 | 1:36 | — | — | 98 | 44 | 53 | 4 | 9 | 30.8 | 23.5 | -2.5 | 2 |
| 2022-23 | 50 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 107 | 7.5 | 10 | 16:30 | 2:48 | — | — | 54 | 22 | 29 | 4 | 13 | 23.5 | 12.3 | -4.3 | -8 |
| 2021-22 | 68 | 30 | 32 | 62 | 180 | 16.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | -11 | |
| 2020-21 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 25.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | |
| 2019-20 | 71 | 21 | 27 | 48 | 129 | 16.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | -23 | |
| 2018-19 | 73 | 21 | 26 | 47 | 131 | 16.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | |
| 2017-18 | 48 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 83 | 8.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | -7 | |
| 2016-17 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | -1 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
