2026-27 projection
74
GP
9
G
38
A
47
Pts
10
PPP
132
SOG
5
Hits
93
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 24Expected 47Ceiling 71
Goals
Floor 4Expected 9Ceiling 15
Assists
Floor 20Expected 38Ceiling 56
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 7.1% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±3.8 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 59 (injury), ceiling 80 (full health) vs 74 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±10.7 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 20.0 | 1 | 23:00 | 3:30 | 35 | 66 | 0 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.3 | +0.8 | 3 |
| 2025-26 | 70 | 10 | 29 | 39 | 130 | 7.7 | 5 | 22:48 | 1:30 | 38 | 31 | 2 | 87 | 24 | — | — | — | 8.8 | +1.2 | 19 |
| 2024-25 | 67 | 7 | 50 | 57 | 128 | 5.5 | 19 | 22:00 | 2:42 | — | — | 6 | 82 | 26 | — | — | — | 8.6 | -1.6 | 18 |
| 2023-24 | 47 | 5 | 37 | 42 | 105 | 4.8 | 15 | 22:06 | 3:18 | — | — | 9 | 78 | 6 | — | — | — | 5.9 | -0.9 | 4 |
| 2022-23 | 55 | 8 | 33 | 41 | 136 | 5.9 | 9 | 21:24 | 2:18 | — | — | 16 | 86 | 18 | — | — | — | 7.9 | +0.1 | 16 |
| 2021-22 | 78 | 14 | 38 | 52 | 205 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | |
| 2020-21 | 53 | 8 | 34 | 42 | 161 | 5.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | 28 | |
| 2019-20 | 71 | 13 | 33 | 46 | 219 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | |
| 2018-19 | 79 | 12 | 25 | 37 | 202 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | -4 | |
| 2017-18 | 61 | 6 | 23 | 29 | 144 | 4.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | |
| 2016-17 | 34 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 60 | 3.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | -6 | |
| 2015-16 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 10.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
