2026-27 projection
18
GP
0.16
G
0.30
A
0.46
Pts
0.13
PPP
1.25
SOG
0.30
Hits
0.43
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 3Expected 8Ceiling 17
Goals
Floor 1Expected 3Ceiling 7
Assists
Floor 3Expected 5Ceiling 10
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 12.4% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±2 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 14 (injury), ceiling 24 (full health) vs 18 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±1.5 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2025-26 | 75 | 11 | 22 | 33 | 87 | 12.6 | 10 | 16:30 | 2:18 | 46 | 18 | 35 | 16 | -32 |
| 2024-25 | 79 | 10 | 27 | 37 | 115 | 8.7 | 8 | 14:24 | 1:36 | — | 33 | 27 | 12 | -3 |
| 2023-24 | 49 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 92 | 7.6 | 9 | 14:36 | 2:18 | — | 13 | 14 | 14 | -15 |
| 2022-23 | 49 | 13 | 26 | 39 | 105 | 12.4 | 14 | 16:36 | 2:36 | — | 17 | 15 | 14 | -9 |
| 2021-22 | 80 | 22 | 39 | 61 | 149 | 14.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 12 | |
| 2020-21 | 53 | 19 | 25 | 44 | 102 | 18.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 4 | |
| 2019-20 | 58 | 20 | 25 | 45 | 103 | 19.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | 11 | |
| 2018-19 | 76 | 12 | 13 | 25 | 100 | 12.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | 2 | |
| 2017-18 | 56 | 12 | 13 | 25 | 84 | 14.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 27 | 3 | |
| 2016-17 | 64 | 12 | 23 | 35 | 111 | 10.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | 13 | |
| 2015-16 | 79 | 17 | 21 | 38 | 126 | 13.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | 4 | |
| 2014-15 | 53 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 65 | 13.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 12 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
