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Nick Paul

Nick Paul

CTOR · age 31 · 2023-24 with TBL · drafted 2013 by DAL, round 4, #101 overallCompare with…
72
GP
13
G
13
A
26
Pts
5
PPP
105
SOG
90
Hits
32
Blk
Points
Floor 13Expected 26Ceiling 40
Goals
Floor 6Expected 13Ceiling 20
Assists
Floor 7Expected 13Ceiling 19
What moves the range:
  • Shooting %: expected 12.4% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.3 (pure luck).
  • Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
  • Games played: floor assumes 58 (injury), ceiling 78 (full health) vs 72 expected.
  • Linemates: assist swing of ±3.7 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
BasicEverything
ScoringIce timePhysical
SeasonGPGAPSOGSH%PPPTOIPP TOIPP%HITBLKPIM+/-
2026-27301130.0016:062:5439524-2
2025-265178156810.3313:421:1224752232-15
2024-257622194114115.6516:241:06—66313013
2023-248224224615315.71417:183:06—1044227-16
2022-238017153212014.2416:121:12—111463311
2021-22801616321669.6—————39-14
2020-2156515201054.8—————195
2019-2056911201038.7—————240
2018-1920112303.3—————4-10
2017-1811101119.1—————0-4
2016-17100040.0—————0-2
2015-1624235287.1—————6-3

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

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