2026-27 projection
81
GP
0.21
G
0.28
A
0.48
Pts
0.17
PPP
1.67
SOG
0.99
Hits
0.43
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 20Expected 39Ceiling 55
Goals
Floor 9Expected 17Ceiling 23
Assists
Floor 12Expected 22Ceiling 31
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 12.3% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.9 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 65 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 81 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±6.3 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 12:00 | 1:06 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025-26 | 80 | 12 | 20 | 32 | 130 | 9.2 | 14 | 13:36 | 3:00 | 58 | 85 | 39 | 16 | -14 |
| 2024-25 | 79 | 21 | 25 | 46 | 154 | 13.6 | 12 | 15:06 | 2:18 | — | 74 | 26 | 18 | 2 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 20 | 39 | 59 | 186 | 10.8 | 25 | 16:12 | 2:24 | — | 67 | 29 | 12 | -20 |
| 2022-23 | 81 | 20 | 25 | 45 | 198 | 10.1 | 10 | 15:36 | 2:18 | — | 63 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 2021-22 | 80 | 28 | 29 | 57 | 215 | 13.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | -35 | |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 18 | 26 | 44 | 143 | 12.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 23 | -15 | |
| 2019-20 | 49 | 21 | 15 | 36 | 162 | 13.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | 8 | |
| 2018-19 | 77 | 23 | 13 | 36 | 161 | 14.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 8 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 11 | 29 | 40 | 163 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 4 | |
| 2016-17 | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 55 | 10.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 4 | |
| 2015-16 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 16.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | 6 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
