2026-27 projection
81
GP
0.32
G
0.40
A
0.72
Pts
0.16
PPP
2.49
SOG
0.92
Hits
0.31
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 31Expected 59Ceiling 80
Goals
Floor 14Expected 26Ceiling 35
Assists
Floor 17Expected 33Ceiling 46
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 12.9% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±6.1 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 65 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 81 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±9.2 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 18:30 | 3:48 | 36 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025-26 | 77 | 25 | 30 | 55 | 187 | 13.4 | 11 | 17:36 | 2:48 | 47 | 68 | 22 | 32 | -14 |
| 2024-25 | 81 | 20 | 33 | 53 | 242 | 8.3 | 16 | 17:54 | 2:36 | — | 95 | 28 | 46 | -14 |
| 2023-24 | 76 | 34 | 38 | 72 | 246 | 13.8 | 21 | 18:00 | 3:12 | — | 63 | 20 | 36 | 17 |
| 2022-23 | 81 | 42 | 31 | 73 | 275 | 15.3 | 13 | 17:30 | 2:12 | — | 29 | 31 | 46 | 10 |
| 2021-22 | 78 | 24 | 31 | 55 | 167 | 14.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 48 | 24 | |
| 2020-21 | 43 | 18 | 18 | 36 | 107 | 16.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 31 | 24 | |
| 2019-20 | 52 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 57 | 15.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | -9 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
