2026-27 projection
81
GP
7
G
27
A
34
Pts
10
PPP
157
SOG
182
Hits
175
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 17Expected 34Ceiling 49
Goals
Floor 3Expected 7Ceiling 11
Assists
Floor 14Expected 27Ceiling 38
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 4.4% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±3.3 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 65 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 81 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±7.7 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 20:30 | 0:00 | 36 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 5 | — | — | — | 0.2 | -0.2 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | 79 | 4 | 24 | 28 | 154 | 2.6 | 6 | 22:30 | 2:00 | 37 | 40 | 167 | 175 | 88 | — | — | — | 6.4 | -2.4 | -33 |
| 2024-25 | 81 | 8 | 39 | 47 | 184 | 4.3 | 21 | 24:12 | 2:48 | — | — | 223 | 192 | 33 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 9.8 | -1.8 | 18 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 20 | 32 | 52 | 208 | 9.6 | 15 | 22:54 | 1:54 | — | — | 194 | 200 | 51 | — | — | — | 10.0 | +10.0 | 2 |
| 2022-23 | 81 | 4 | 27 | 31 | 160 | 2.5 | 3 | 21:06 | 1:00 | — | — | 186 | 117 | 43 | — | — | — | 8.6 | -4.6 | 15 |
| 2021-22 | 80 | 8 | 36 | 44 | 203 | 3.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | 40 | |
| 2020-21 | 54 | 6 | 30 | 36 | 101 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | 29 | |
| 2019-20 | 45 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 77 | 9.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | |
| 2018-19 | 64 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 79 | 5.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | -3 | |
| 2017-18 | 60 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 58 | 3.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | |
| 2016-17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
