2026-27 projection
27
GP
0.10
G
0.30
A
0.40
Pts
0.04
PPP
1.22
SOG
0.57
Hits
1.27
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 5Expected 11Ceiling 20
Goals
Floor 0Expected 3Ceiling 6
Assists
Floor 4Expected 8Ceiling 13
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 8.2% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±2 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 22 (injury), ceiling 33 (full health) vs 27 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±2.3 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2025-26 | 71 | 8 | 24 | 32 | 93 | 8.6 | 4 | 21:06 | 1:24 | 32 | 39 | 86 | 45 | 18 |
| 2024-25 | 70 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 91 | 6.6 | 0 | 19:06 | 0:36 | — | 43 | 104 | 47 | 5 |
| 2023-24 | 67 | 9 | 19 | 28 | 88 | 10.2 | 3 | 21:06 | 1:06 | — | 45 | 83 | 51 | -10 |
| 2022-23 | 81 | 7 | 26 | 33 | 102 | 6.9 | 4 | 20:00 | 1:18 | — | 44 | 115 | 38 | 9 |
| 2021-22 | 80 | 11 | 35 | 46 | 158 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 57 | -14 | |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 91 | 3.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 29 | -8 | |
| 2019-20 | 69 | 8 | 23 | 31 | 114 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 52 | -20 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 11 | 28 | 39 | 146 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 58 | -27 | |
| 2017-18 | 76 | 9 | 15 | 24 | 121 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 42 | -8 | |
| 2016-17 | 80 | 3 | 28 | 31 | 125 | 2.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 58 | -31 | |
| 2015-16 | 72 | 1 | 20 | 21 | 94 | 1.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 32 | -8 | |
| 2014-15 | 51 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 93 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | -13 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
