2026-27 projection
72
GP
11
G
44
A
55
Pts
24
PPP
131
SOG
37
Hits
76
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 28Expected 55Ceiling 83
Goals
Floor 5Expected 11Ceiling 18
Assists
Floor 23Expected 44Ceiling 65
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 8.7% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.1 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 58 (injury), ceiling 78 (full health) vs 72 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±12.2 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
