2026-27 projection
63
GP
4
G
10
A
14
Pts
0
PPP
47
SOG
87
Hits
45
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 6Expected 14Ceiling 22
Goals
Floor 1Expected 4Ceiling 7
Assists
Floor 5Expected 10Ceiling 14
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 8.3% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±2.4 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 50 (injury), ceiling 69 (full health) vs 63 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±2.7 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 10:48 | 0:00 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 35.3 | 0.2 | -0.2 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | 58 | 2 | 15 | 17 | 38 | 5.3 | 0 | 11:48 | 0:06 | 19 | 3 | 78 | 44 | 18 | 235 | 206 | 53.3 | 5.9 | -3.9 | 2 |
| 2024-25 | 70 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 68 | 7.4 | 0 | 13:00 | 0:06 | — | — | 115 | 50 | 30 | 432 | 326 | 57.0 | 5.7 | -0.7 | -2 |
| 2023-24 | 74 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 71 | 9.9 | 0 | 12:30 | 0:00 | — | — | 97 | 42 | 20 | 283 | 237 | 54.4 | 10.8 | -3.8 | 0 |
| 2022-23 | 81 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 88 | 12.5 | 0 | 13:42 | 0:12 | — | — | 89 | 69 | 39 | 309 | 243 | 56.0 | 10.9 | +0.1 | 9 |
| 2021-22 | 77 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 89 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | -20 | |
| 2020-21 | 55 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 94 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | -15 | |
| 2019-20 | 66 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 109 | 10.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | -6 | |
| 2018-19 | 81 | 15 | 15 | 30 | 114 | 13.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | -3 | |
| 2017-18 | 79 | 17 | 16 | 33 | 118 | 14.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | 21 | |
| 2016-17 | 80 | 12 | 21 | 33 | 132 | 9.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | -6 | |
| 2015-16 | 45 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 67 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
