2026-27 projection
81
GP
33
G
39
A
72
Pts
27
PPP
247
SOG
129
Hits
38
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 39Expected 72Ceiling 97
Goals
Floor 19Expected 32Ceiling 43
Assists
Floor 20Expected 39Ceiling 54
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 13.1% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±6.8 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 65 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 81 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±11 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 20:36 | 4:48 | 61 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | 82 | 40 | 35 | 75 | 246 | 16.3 | 26 | 18:54 | 3:00 | 60 | 124 | 33 | 34 | -2 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 31 | 45 | 76 | 281 | 11.0 | 26 | 18:36 | 3:12 | — | 151 | 52 | 44 | -27 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 48 | 46 | 94 | 347 | 13.8 | 32 | 18:54 | 3:30 | — | 141 | 44 | 43 | 16 |
| 2022-23 | 50 | 19 | 23 | 42 | 157 | 12.1 | 13 | 17:30 | 3:06 | — | 86 | 20 | 20 | -4 |
| 2021-22 | 69 | 42 | 42 | 84 | 226 | 18.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | 12 | |
| 2020-21 | 39 | 12 | 20 | 32 | 129 | 9.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | -9 | |
| 2019-20 | 63 | 21 | 27 | 48 | 198 | 10.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 29 | -7 | |
| 2018-19 | 64 | 28 | 22 | 50 | 217 | 12.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | 8 | |
| 2017-18 | 67 | 26 | 38 | 64 | 179 | 14.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 38 | 27 | |
| 2016-17 | 82 | 31 | 27 | 58 | 234 | 13.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 32 | -4 | |
| 2015-16 | 82 | 33 | 31 | 64 | 247 | 13.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 47 | 1 | |
| 2014-15 | 82 | 26 | 37 | 63 | 237 | 11.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | 15 | |
| 2013-14 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 5.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | -8 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
