2026-27 projection
80
GP
13
G
28
A
41
Pts
10
PPP
99
SOG
23
Hits
39
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 20Expected 40Ceiling 58
Goals
Floor 6Expected 13Ceiling 19
Assists
Floor 14Expected 28Ceiling 39
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 13.1% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.3 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 64 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 80 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±7.7 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 13:42 | 0:00 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.2 | -0.2 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | 75 | 14 | 21 | 35 | 89 | 15.7 | 19 | 17:48 | 2:48 | 25 | 56 | 21 | 43 | 6 | 47 | 73 | 39.2 | 10.8 | +3.2 | -30 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 15 | 43 | 58 | 111 | 13.5 | 24 | 17:06 | 2:24 | — | — | 27 | 29 | 12 | 60 | 93 | 39.2 | 11.1 | +3.9 | -23 |
| 2023-24 | 76 | 25 | 28 | 53 | 142 | 17.6 | 17 | 16:24 | 2:12 | — | — | 16 | 26 | 10 | 66 | 74 | 47.1 | 16.8 | +8.2 | 15 |
| 2022-23 | 68 | 12 | 25 | 37 | 144 | 8.3 | 11 | 16:54 | 2:18 | — | — | 15 | 18 | 16 | 33 | 20 | 62.3 | 12.4 | -0.4 | 11 |
| 2021-22 | 77 | 22 | 43 | 65 | 202 | 10.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | |
| 2020-21 | 21 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 10.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | |
| 2019-20 | 68 | 15 | 48 | 63 | 182 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 21 | 55 | 76 | 167 | 12.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | 30 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 23 | 41 | 64 | 185 | 12.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | |
| 2016-17 | 81 | 15 | 27 | 42 | 169 | 8.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | -6 | |
| 2015-16 | 78 | 13 | 22 | 35 | 136 | 9.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | -2 | |
| 2014-15 | 34 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | |
| 2013-14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
