2026-27 projection
78
GP
30
G
33
A
63
Pts
24
PPP
179
SOG
103
Hits
47
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 34Expected 63Ceiling 88
Goals
Floor 17Expected 30Ceiling 41
Assists
Floor 17Expected 33Ceiling 47
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 16.6% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±6.4 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 78 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±9.3 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11.1 | 1 | 16:36 | 3:36 | 25 | 68 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 11 | 52.2 | 1.6 | -0.6 | 2 |
| 2025-26 | 82 | 24 | 34 | 58 | 202 | 11.9 | 25 | 17:00 | 3:24 | 26 | 72 | 114 | 45 | 39 | 720 | 525 | 57.8 | 33.4 | -9.4 | -17 |
| 2024-25 | 73 | 32 | 29 | 61 | 177 | 18.1 | 23 | 17:06 | 2:42 | — | — | 99 | 56 | 20 | 536 | 422 | 56.0 | 29.9 | +2.1 | -3 |
| 2023-24 | 54 | 17 | 21 | 38 | 124 | 13.7 | 11 | 20:30 | 2:54 | — | — | 59 | 49 | 22 | 565 | 418 | 57.5 | 16.2 | +0.8 | -28 |
| 2022-23 | 79 | 22 | 41 | 63 | 183 | 12.0 | 22 | 19:18 | 3:00 | — | — | 91 | 57 | 42 | 792 | 653 | 54.8 | 24.8 | -2.8 | -36 |
| 2021-22 | 82 | 30 | 34 | 64 | 205 | 14.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | -9 | |
| 2020-21 | 50 | 19 | 24 | 43 | 112 | 17.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | |
| 2019-20 | 48 | 16 | 20 | 36 | 117 | 13.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | -18 | |
| 2018-19 | 77 | 35 | 39 | 74 | 176 | 19.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | |
| 2017-18 | 79 | 22 | 24 | 46 | 175 | 12.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | -2 | |
| 2016-17 | 49 | 10 | 12 | 22 | 100 | 10.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | -8 | |
| 2015-16 | 81 | 21 | 25 | 46 | 202 | 10.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | |
| 2014-15 | 82 | 13 | 18 | 31 | 145 | 9.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | -5 | |
| 2013-14 | 37 | 15 | 10 | 25 | 98 | 15.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
